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Tomorrow’s Healthcare

Pay no attention to that AI code behind the curtain!

March 27, 2024

Imagine opening a box and finding a healthcare system believed to be the best and most complicated healthcare system in the world – welcome to the paradox of American healthcare, as enigmatic as Schrödinger's famous feline. The United States, rightly hailed as the pinnacle of medical innovation, astonishingly spends more on healthcare per person than any other high-income nation, with individual expenditures soaring to $12,555 in 2022. This figure eclipses its closest counterparts by a staggering $4,000 and doubles the average of $6,651 spent per person in similar affluent countries.

Yet, when we peel back the layers of this financial colossus, a stark contrast emerges. The U.S. doesn’t rank 1st in life expectancy. It ranks 47th globally trailing behind nations like Canada, Thailand, Chile, and even Costa Rica, whose citizens on average live up to five years longer than the average American. Moreover, with a standard of living positioned at 23rd worldwide, the promise of "the best healthcare" in reality seems to hang somewhere between reality and aspiration.

But there's a reason for this perception. The United States is the undisputed champion of medical innovation. According to the Scimago Journal, which tracks citations in scholarly publications, the U.S. leads the world by a significant margin, with nearly 138% more citations than the next country as it relates to creating new medicinal patents and groundbreaking medicines. This dominance of US contributions to advancing medicine and healthcare iis so pronounced that betting against the U.S. to also spearhead AI innovations in healthcare would be a wager most would dare not take.

This brings us to a pivotal question: If the vast ocean of innovation in the U.S. hasn't yet bridged the gap in life expectancy or matched the cost efficiencies seen in other high-income nations, what transformative potential does AI hold for healthcare both in the U.S. and globally? Could it be the key to unraveling the paradox, ensuring that the promise of American healthcare finally aligns with the needs of its citizens - both patients and providers?

Revolutionizing Global Healthcare with AI

Artificial Intelligence research and product advancements are set to significantly impact global health outcomes, promising longer, healthier lives by improving universal healthcare systems that are more efficient and effective in caring for their citizens. By harnessing the power of AI, healthcare delivery is poised to become faster and more personalized, likely reducing government costs while improving the quality, variety and accessibility of care. This evolution in healthcare systems worldwide heralds a future where improved lifespans and quality of life become achievable realities for all, marking a transformative shift in how societies manage and prioritize health and well-being. For instance:

Redefining Drug Discovery: AI's role in accelerating the diversification of drugs and the discovery of new antibiotic classes presents a beacon of hope in the fight against resistant bacterial strains. Researchers are leveraging AI to unearth potential drug candidates at an unprecedented pace, offering a promising outlook for treatments of diseases that have long eluded conventional methodologies. For instance MIT researchers utilizing deep learning have identified a new class of compounds capable of killing the drug-resistant bacterium MRSA, which is responsible for over 10,000 deaths annually in the U.S. The compounds, showing low human cell toxicity, were validated in lab dishes and mouse models, with insights from the AI model offering a roadmap for designing even more effective antibiotics.

Predictive Oncology and Beyond

  • Identifying Genetic Cancer Markers: AI's application in identifying genetic markers, such as the IDH1 gene mutation in brain tumors through MRI scans, is a monumental stride towards personalized medicine. This breakthrough allows for the precision targeting of treatments based on individual genetic profiles, dramatically increasing the efficacy of therapies while reducing side effects. Such advancements are not just enhancing the quality of care but are setting new standards in the tailored approach to cancer treatment, offering hope for better survival rates and a future where cancer therapy is as unique as the DNA of the patient.
  • Enhancing Prostate Cancer Diagnostics: The precision of AI in detecting prostate cancer from MRI scans, matching the expertise of seasoned radiologists, represents a major leap in diagnostic capabilities. This innovation promises to bridge the gap in care, particularly in regions underserved by specialists, making expert-level diagnosis accessible to all. Early and accurate detection facilitated by AI could lead to significantly improved outcomes for prostate cancer patients, minimizing unnecessary treatments and focusing on effective, timely interventions. The potential of AI to revolutionize prostate cancer care is immense, offering a glimpse into a future where diagnostics are swift, accurate, and universally accessible.
  • Improving Breast and Cervical Cancer Screenings: AI is pioneering advancements making screenings more precise and predictive. Tools that assess the risk of developing breast cancer within five years are transforming how screenings are scheduled, making them more personalized. For cervical cancer, AI-enhanced visual inspections are improving the detection of precancerous conditions, particularly valuable in low-resource settings. These innovations promise to significantly reduce mortality rates by ensuring cancers are caught early when they are most treatable, showcasing AI's potential to redefine preventative care.
  • Early Detection of Pancreatic Cancer: Pancreatic cancer's notoriously low survival rate due to late detection is being challenged by AI technologies that promise early diagnosis. By meticulously analyzing CT scans and health records, AI models are uncovering tumors and high-risk profiles far sooner than traditional methods ever could. This early detection capability could revolutionize treatment strategies for one of the deadliest cancers, significantly improving patient outcomes through timely intervention. The implications of AI in transforming the battle against pancreatic cancer are profound, marking a pivotal advancement in the quest to turn a once grim diagnosis into a manageable condition.
  • Electronics Meet Epidermis: A groundbreaking leap in health monitoring, AI-driven electronic skin technology promises to revolutionize diagnostics and continuous health tracking. This "second skin" offers a seamless interface for monitoring vital signs and detecting potential health issues early, potentially transforming patient care by enabling proactive rather than reactive healthcare strategies.

Navigating the US Healthcare Landscape

Within the US healthcare model, these innovations have the potential to streamline efficiencies, enhance patient outcomes, and spur medical innovations. However, the model's profit-driven nature raises questions about equitable access and the full realization of AI's benefits across all patient and provider demographics. And that’s where the rub lies.

Hello, Nurse!: This past weekend news broke of NVIDIA's push to integrate AI into nursing roles for $9 an hour. The rationale is that there’s a nursing shortage and increasing expenses. Reading between the lines, this means there’s a desire to pay essential workers like nurses less than minimum wage. While AI's role in enhancing healthcare efficiency and capabilities in so many facets cannot be understated, this isn’t one of the places where it’s going to work out as expected. Having deep relationships with both Physicians and Nurses in my family, any organization adopting this product will likely come directly from the finance team and misses some of the key and core benefits nurses provide. First, it's imperative to recognize its limitations in AI both in today's advancements, as well as future advancements when compared to the empathy provided by nurses. AI technology may offer convenience by handling data-driven tasks, but the empathetic and physical aspects of nursing care simply cannot be replicated even in bot or humanoid form. The empathetic support during life-altering moments, such as a patient undergoing dialysis or facing a breast cancer diagnosis, is irreplaceable. A bot telling you “it will be ok” will never be as trusted as a human doing so. Unfortunately it ties back to some of our primal and tribal instincts and I hate to say it, but patients sometimes will refuse or want a specific nurse for their ethnicity, age, time in field, or just because of something they bonded on. AI chatbots can’t replicate this.

Nurses also play a crucial role in providing comfort and understanding to both patients and family members after speaking with a doctor while having blood drawn, or a bedpan changed that no algorithm can or should emulate. The thought of replacing this human touch with AI not only overlooks the essence of nursing care but could also lead to significantly negative legal outcomes. A 1997 study done by Wendy Levinson, MD, published in The Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA), explored the communication behaviors of physicians and their relationship with malpractice claims. The key finding of this research was that physicians who had never been sued were more likely to spend longer time with their patients and use active listening techniques, such as paraphrasing and clarifying, which led to better communication and satisfaction. These physicians were perceived as more empathetic and engaging by their patients.

Furthermore, the underlying issues of nursing shortages and strikes stem from systemic problems within the healthcare industry, including low pay, high stress levels, and overwork. These are challenges that AI cannot address and highlight the need for significant reforms to support our healthcare professionals better. But we already know that the US healthcare system is broken and has been for some time.

Risky Bets: With AI, Insurance companies can leverage the vast seas of healthcare data, where AI can sharpen the ability to pinpoint risks and adjust premiums with remarkable accuracy compared to any other time in their existence. Insurance entities are now, literally right now, tapping into AI's prowess to gauge the probability of claims being lodged, enabling a more tailored premium setting that reflects real-world risk scenarios. And make no mistake, it’s not just with subscribers, it will also be done with employees as well, all in the pursuit to maximize profits. So where some things may see reduced rates, it will likely force higher rates across the board. We’re already seeing similar use cases in real estate. 

 

Unintended Consequences: A Closer Look

Empathy in the Era of AI: The indispensable role of empathy in healthcare cannot be overstated. AI, for all its analytical prowess, falls short in replicating the nuanced interpersonal interactions that form the backbone of compassionate care, raising concerns about the erosion of this critical element in patient treatment. We as a species are tribal in nature, and no matter how close we come to creating a Simone or Samantha, the vast majority of humans will bond with something that reflects themselves.empathy coming from from an AGI humanoid body will not be able to do what a human nurse, or doctor can do - especially in times of great need.

Navigating the Ethical Minefield: AI's integration into healthcare is fraught with privacy concerns, ethical dilemmas, and the potential exacerbation of healthcare disparities. The reliance on AI also brings to light issues of dependency and the complexities of regulatory compliance, underscoring the need for a balanced approach that safeguards patient and worker interests.


Opportunities Amidst Challenges

Navigating the future of healthcare requires a delicate balance between leveraging Artificial Intelligence (AI) and maintaining the human touch that defines patient care. The key lies in fostering a synergy between humans and AI, ensuring technology enhances rather than replaces the invaluable elements of empathy and understanding in healthcare while maintaining the security of the patient’s data, and ideally lowering the staggering costs. Some things to consider towards that path include:

Fostering Human-AI Synergy: Developing collaboration models where AI supports rather than replaces human healthcare professionals could preserve crucial jobs and ensure the retention of empathy and personal touch in patient care.

Ethical AI Deployment: Establishing deployment guidelines that prioritize ethical considerations and address societal impacts is vital. These guidelines should aim to prevent job loss, erosion of patient trust, and other negative social consequences of AI implementation.

Strengthening Regulatory Frameworks: Advocating for robust regulatory oversight is essential to ensure AI's safe and equitable application in healthcare. This includes addressing the complexities of AI ethics, privacy, security needs and potential biases.

Empowering through Education: Continuous education and training for healthcare professionals on the latest AI technologies will be critical in maximizing the benefits of these innovations, ensuring that professionals are equipped to integrate AI tools effectively into their practice.

Prioritizing Patient-Centric AI: Designing AI systems with a focus on patient welfare and healthcare accessibility can ensure that technological advancements serve to enhance, rather than detract from, the quality of care and patient outcomes.

Charting A Path Forward

The journey of integrating AI into healthcare is marked by significant potential for transformation and innovation. However, it also presents substantial challenges, including concerns over job displacement, the loss of human empathy, and the ethical implications of widespread AI adoption. A collaborative approach among healthcare leaders, policymakers, and technologists is paramount to navigate these challenges responsibly. By prioritizing human needs and ethical considerations, we can ensure that AI serves as a tool to enhance human capabilities in healthcare, fostering a future where technology and humanity advance in harmony for the betterment of patient care and society at large.

SOCIAL BENEFIT RATING

  • Social Benefit Score: 5 (Very High)
  • Patient Risk (2)
  • Providers Risk (5)